This past week, staff at the IHL (college board) distributed
spreadsheets of projected budgets for the eight universities comprising the
system.Shockingly, the spreadsheet
shows USM with a projected budget of just $156 million (and change) for the
fiscal year 2011-2012 - a whopping contraction in the neighborhood of $25
million from where we started out the current 2009-2010 year.
Even assuming that the recent painful process of APG-driven budget
reduction nets $10 million+ for the next fiscal year, the IHL projection
suggests that we still have another $14 million+ to go for the year
following.
Should there be even a slight shred of doubt in anyone's
mind, let's be clear - cuts of this magnitude are massive, completely overwhelming
the usual euphemisms of "trimming," "belt-tightening," etc.It's hard even to imagine what a USM that is $25
million "lighter" will look like.
A public opinion consensus seems to be building that
Mississippi higher education must conform - rapidly - to "a new fiscal paradigm" (the term used in a
recent Clarion-Ledger editorial).What's
included in the so-called new paradigm?
First, of course, much less money for higher ed - probably 20%
or more less.Always a desperately poor
state, Mississippi is getting poorer, and, it would appear, simply can no
longer afford all the education it has on a long-term basis.
Second, dramatic reduction in the number of "duplicated"
programs across the state.Easy targets
for reduction might be graduate programs - especially relatively high-cost
doctoral programs - with small numbers of students.
Third, greater alignment of degree production with demonstrated
workforce needs, with, presumably, shrinkage (if not outright elimination) of degree
programs for whose graduates there is low job market demand.
It's hard to argue with the logic that a cash-strapped state
system must reduce to live within its means, and, to the greatest extent
possible, streamline for the best "fit" with state social and economic
needs.Not at all clear at this point,
however, is how we get from here to there, from our present desperate financial
pickle to the new fiscal paradigm that promises a sustainable future.
Along
with other Southern Miss deans, I had the chance to speak with Hank Bounds last
Wednesday morning.It was a productive
exchange, I think.Anyone who attended
convocation got at least the broad strokes of the commissioner's doom-and-gloom
message.Unrelenting shortfalls in state
revenues certainly means that there's significant downsizing ahead for the
entire university system. And while it's
expected that the economic picture will eventually brighten, we're likely
looking at four years or more of sharply reduced revenues - for all practical
purposes, a "permanent" reduction. At
once, Bounds indicated that he is decidedly not
in favor of a slash-and-burn, do-anything-necessary-to-get-to-the-bottom-line approach
to program reduction.He emphasized the
need for Mississippi's system of higher education to come out of the contraction
smaller, but strong, positioned for the future and capable of addressing the
state's priority needs.
As
dean of the College of Health, I confess to a somewhat biased
perspective. Yet in considering priority needs of our state, perhaps the
most health-compromised in the nation, who can deny the centrality of health? In my view, Mississippi's
university system should lead in at least three health-related areas:
·Professional
workforce provision (essential to sustaining and enhancing the health services
infrastructure, and pivotal to social and economic development);
·Applied
research and intervention (especially pertaining to countering the chronic
diseases ravaging our state and threatening our future);
·Data
collection and analysis for policy and planning (seasoned health administrators
- such as Bill Oliver of Forrest General Hospital and Gary Marchand of Gulfport
Memorial Hospital - inform me that poor and incomplete data constitute an
inefficient drag on health delivery and on effective services and workforce
planning).
As
the IHL and the commissioner look to reduce "program duplication" in the
higher ed system, we all worry about a bloody scramble among the universities
to claim what's "theirs."But health
education and research are not matters of "territory." Clearly, there is
room - and need - for integration among the state's educational systems, and
for collaboration among educational institutions, as well as between these
institutions and the other public agencies responsible for public
welfare. There are opportunities both for greater efficiency and for real
growth and expansion of capacity.